Grading The Deal: Mark Trumbo Re-Signs With Orioles

  • It’s been an extended offseason in the event you’re a slugger (non-Yoenis Cespedes division). There’s been a good deal of waiting, a lot of anticipating, and not much from the way of consummating. That changed earlier this week when Jose Bautista re-signed using the Jays and continues as Mark Trumbo re-signed together with the Orioles for four years and $37.5 million. A little north of $12 million annually seems like it will be a good deal for that reigning great hit leader for his age 31-to-33 seasons, particularly in light on the fact that Bautista is receiving $18 million for his age 36 campaign, but would it be, really?

    As it is likely you already know for anyone who is reading baseball transaction articles (and indeed know through the preceding sentence), Trumbo led each one of MLB having a whopping 47 home runs recently. That seems like the type of thing that gets to be a gentleman signed to some type of deal, but rather here we're, over halfway into January, before it finally happened. As with Bautista, Trumbo stood a qualifying offer, making other teams leery of stopping a draft pick to Buy MLB 18 Stubs sign him, but that by itself wasn’t the dealbreaker for teams have been looking for any heavy hitter to insert of their lineup.

    First coming from all, there’s the defense. Whether you are going by either DRS or UZR, he’s (at best) experienced a couple of above-average seasons in the beginning base and is particularly pretty much replacement level there. Of course, for that Orioles, Chris Davis exists, meaning that Trumbo was pushed in an outfield/DH combo during his lone season in Baltimore after coming over in a very trade from Seattle. The results were, ahem, not pleasant.

    Out of 74 outfielders with no less than 750 innings at work, Trumbo was the 11th worst by UZR and tied to the 6th worst by DRS. If you choose the good old fashioned eye test, well, Fangraphs’ Fan Scouting Report (which, since it sounds, polls fans for his or her opinions) has him tied for that 4th worst. All of the is to express that Trumbo doesn’t bring much in positive value to your field, therefore it wasn’t any surprise that he wound up on an AL team, and the man’ll likely spend a decent period of time occupying the DH spot on the next two years.

    It’s not the defense that raises warning, though. Trumbo’s 2016 K% was 25.5%, the 15th worst among qualified in MLB, and unsurprisingly, he ended up through an extremely troublesome .316 OBP and .256 AVG, as both versions put him within the top 50 worst qualified players this past year in those statistics. He’s and a below average runner once he’s on base. If you need to put a standard number about it, despite the truth that Trumbo hit almost 50 home runs not too long ago, he was just worth 1.6 bWAR/2.2 fWAR. While a sizable chunk of that's due to the truth that a good bit of your time time negating his offensive contributions with poor fielding, there was other value-related questions that probably made teams reluctant to commit to Trumbo.

    On the surface of those high strikeouts, what type takes generally sluggers, and this really low OBP, which separates him on the higher quality sluggers, Trumbo also started in 6th in MLB by home-run-to-fly-ball ratio (24.6%), higher than his career number (19.3%). He changed his approach and hit a great deal more fly balls (in 43.1% of his PAs, vs. a profession 39.7%). A wide range of those resulted in outs and, if Trumbo stops getting as much about the ball, a good deal more will.

    As we mentioned when examining Bautista earlier this week, his pitch selectivity and power to draw walks is one thing that suggests he might adequately age well, so long as they can stay healthy. For Trumbo, the other is true, because Trumbo has eschewed a person approach and embraced the strikeouts. His value has already been extremely limited based within the fact that she’s a defensive liability normally a designated hitter. If the power drops a good little and much less of those balls leave the park, things can get ugly fast.

    Grade for Trumbo: C+

    It was starting to appear to be Trumbo could finish up on the “prove it” contract to indicate that his ultra-homer-happy 2016 wasn’t only a fluke. His contract entered below what a good deal of folks initially thought it would, however the market for players like Trumbo just doesn’t exist as if it used to because of shifts from the thinking of front offices round the league.

    Grade for Orioles: C+

    The Orioles are paying Trumbo to do something, knowning that thing is mash MLB The Show 18 Stubs dingers. Lots of dingers. It essentially worked out last season, as Trumbo was still being making arbitration money. While he help keep hitting dingers, it’s unlikely that they’ll still lead MLB in home based runs. And if he doesn’t then his value will diminish, anf the husband’s already walking a tightrope here with regards to actually providing value to his team. To an old fashioned baseball fan, this probably appears to be a great deal for Baltimore, but it really’s really just an OK deal, because while Trumbo came relatively cheap, there’s a lot in the game that’s cause for concern forward motion.